No Republican has won the White House without Ohio. And Paul Ryan knows that full well.
"Ohioans you know you have big say so. you know you're the battleground state of battleground states. You understand your responsibility, right? you understand your opportunity, right?" says Ryan at a campaign event in Cincinnati.
The bellwether region of this bellwether state is Northeastern Ohio, home to cities like Canton and Akron. John Avlon is OutFront with the Final Factor that could swing the election for Ohioans.
Will energy boom swing the election?
No Republican has won the White House without Ohio.
In these final weeks, the Buckeye State is an intense campaign battleground and northeastern Ohio is the bellwether of this key swing state.
For decades, the economic news here has been grim. Once the breadbasket and manufacturing backbone of the nation, Ohio has been hit hard by outsourcing while family farms have been under constant pressure.
But a bright spot has suddenly emerged after decades of struggle, an energy boom brought on by natural gas and oil wells. Suddenly, local farmland that had been worth $15 per acre six years ago was valued at $5,800 per acre and leases allow farmers to keep a portion of the royalties if oil and gas are found.
It is a final factor that is impacting the local economy and driving the decision of many independent-minded swing voters here.